TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c26,074$10,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,992.91,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No66c25,700$16,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,9629459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c25,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,50017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c15,515$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No64c7,812$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.6812648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes33c6,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0503253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c5,067$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.331,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9801,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No7c2,689$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes34c2,491$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.8424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9613845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No26c1,740$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7525248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c1,733$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.4550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebb…1465backed Yes33c1,667$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No60c1,500$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9059947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c1,400$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No38c961.46$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c753.5$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e2…7b4ebacked No8c621.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c599.6$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6629038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes52c583$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed No67c504.1$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No7c483.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.343,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes61c467$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No52c460.63$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.726929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No40c457.05$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.812532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No66c455$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.34047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes33c448.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes34c446.81$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes64c438.38$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.381060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No63c399.96$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.978939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No35c347.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c343$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.59154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.57632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No16c305.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.734456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes35c282.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…b0a6backed Yes37c270.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No22c240.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c232.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.543946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes33c199.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.995427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No27c186.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4621842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No66c183.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1914854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a80…755fbacked Yes34c173$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed No12c167.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No7c167.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes35c157.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.142437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.866845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8626242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes35c141.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes26c138$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.124131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No64c137$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c137$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes34c132.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2815049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes29c132$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.721573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick40cpaid+106.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No13c127.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes27c124.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.823259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.652231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c107$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No64c100.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6423855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a76…4d7cbacked Yes34c97.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+152.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes35c96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No64c92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No64c92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes62c89.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No64c85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No67c81.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes35c77.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.143043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fd…c0c6backed No66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes35c73.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.837953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No66c72.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.449055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5221151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No64c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.