La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52397758b7ac62123933f08aab4e397030f04bad3c5b4f8b2399be8189aa64a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,072$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,507$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 1,057$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.86 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 573.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 24c | 417.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 30c | 331.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 49c | 249.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 224.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 51c | 196.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 37c | 132.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 36c | 121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 116.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 79.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 15c | 78.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 78.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…761dbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 45c | 57.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc0…2718backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…3834backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.