TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c6,852$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.672,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over43c6,577$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c2,336$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Over44c2,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c1,863$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.9496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c1,113$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over35c908.09$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.834524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over28c899$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.652035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over69c507.25$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under30c270$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under30c256$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.21450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Under59c212.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over28c211.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under30c172$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb17…94e8backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under30c158$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over59c144.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over44c141.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…1d12backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under30c130$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.31850%9 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Over47c125.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over36c119.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over35c108.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0510039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under30c99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under30c91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under30c89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under29c87.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under30c84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under58c79.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.312540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Over71c72.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over34c71.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Over35c63.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5412565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under30c58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7048…13d5backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under30c55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over70c49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c48.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked Over70c48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over42c47.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Over70c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over70c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over70c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a94…31e6backed Over70c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over70c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under62c38.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de8…f53bbacked Under31c36.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Under30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x905d…ada9backed Over34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Over70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…eff8backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…9422backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…a3aebacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a2…a2d1backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9428…4d5bbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…c890backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x069b…095dbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…f150backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf564…38a3backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f7…4933backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ea…c1edbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6c…cd29backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d9…e920backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa31b…a3edbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1493…630cbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…5870backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a3…fef9backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3848…7904backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3527…71a6backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f9…b8b1backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7696…e9fcbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165c…6c0dbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0439…39d7backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…d8f4backed Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae58…1a3bbacked Under31c34.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over70c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Over70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.740%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Over70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over70c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over70c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over70c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over70c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.