Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bdbfa416997e2d5810cb0295287165683d10820caedda26fa1d9ee421c8cbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 7,456$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 5,223$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.59 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 5,003$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.34 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 44c | 455.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 56c | 444$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 364$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 68c | 347.89$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 14c | 345.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 8c | 190.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…11d2backed Over | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 56c | 160.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 44c | 157.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 43c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Torino FC won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.