College Football · resolved market
O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a88bb9ce0e26c0b088b1e8d38b66782885f3d32cefcb85083c572dd2edf864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 24,375$11,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,177.89 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 11,309$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.52 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 1c | 9,765$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 9,108$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.68 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.15 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 3,470$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 1c | 3,070$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 39c | 1,285$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.47 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,095$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.36 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 10c | 813.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 418.53$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…c4c7backed Under | 56c | 401$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 45c | 397$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…0f28backed Over | 46c | 397$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Under | 55c | 397$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Over | 54c | 186.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…b6b1backed Over | 13c | 168.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 25c | 117.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 112.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 53c | 94.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 55.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 54c | 44.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…353ebacked Under | 68c | 35.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 48.5this page
- Penn State vs. ClemsonPenn State won
- Penn State vs. Clemson: 1H MoneylinePenn State won
- Penn State vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson (-2.5)Penn State won
- Spread: Clemson (-3.5)Penn State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.