TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f76…3e05backed Tundra Esports60c15,544$9,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.96750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed OG41c14,367$5,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.6119047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports59c14,125$8,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,788.7810661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed OG30c11,689$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.177855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ba9…0765backed OG37c10,670$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.92050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG40c6,831$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.641,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Tundra Esports61c5,747$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.642937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports79c5,007$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.6734468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Tundra Esports69c4,350$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Tundra Esports69c4,337$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.983557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed OG30c3,579$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.324445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Tundra Esports70c3,570$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.586155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports70c3,306$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.2419148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports77c3,206$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.8918075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed OG32c3,110$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9713346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed OG36c2,952$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.556854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG36c2,784$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.152,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports73c2,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8723465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG32c2,041$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed OG37c2,040$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.894438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed OG40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG30c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9961057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Tundra Esports65c1,796$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.6617950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed OG42c1,782$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.444746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Tundra Esports68c1,573$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3312050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Tundra Esports70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked OG33c1,274$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9925348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Tundra Esports61c1,204$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.5721847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG32c1,083$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9613045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Tundra Esports62c1,073$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.583348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports69c1,021$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0712147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked OG33c1,020$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.928750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Tundra Esports63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed Tundra Esports65c968.52$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.989244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe246…6ab0backed OG31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f02…8826backed OG34c905.39$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick42cpaid+135.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f5e…1773backed OG15c872.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1411557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed OG30c842.36$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.716547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG35c826.14$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6362841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2a…c0eebacked Tundra Esports59c775.44$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed OG31c761.98$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.964148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2946451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed OG41c720$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.24032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed OG35c719.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6236442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed OG40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23112351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports60c693.33$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3315345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed OG38c674.8$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9727548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Tundra Esports66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked OG35c602.6$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8514668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Tundra Esports71c581.36$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.310340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports69c575.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5711551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed OG31c548.1$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.472020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports66c519.65$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.78330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG21c512.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6345139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd892…f6d9backed Tundra Esports70c507.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.132035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed OG30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed OG30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Tundra Esports64c496.29$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.229054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked OG31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked OG30c474.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.595137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0050…2eb8backed OG42c474.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG29c405.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7239936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports68c402.7$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8115653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Tundra Esports62c398.36$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2213450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Tundra Esports68c370$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports68c370$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.45078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed OG31c367.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.959126.4%24 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Tundra Esports68c365.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.481650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports69c363.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.194678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked OG39c358.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.599838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Tundra Esports59c358$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Tundra Esports70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed OG37c355.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports61c355.43$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG34c346.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.386949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd2c…6d37backed Tundra Esports68c345.78$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed OG39c333.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2631545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Tundra Esports78c329$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.013666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked OG31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.134257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked OG32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Tundra Esports66c302.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.993458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG30c299.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Tundra Esports68c295.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Tundra Esports68c295$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.43372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56cd…7954backed Tundra Esports70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.719544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports70c283.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.926175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed OG32c283.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.734438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd718…aa13backed Tundra Esports70c282.77$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports64c270$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed OG36c270$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.211452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed OG39c264.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.969750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tundra Esports66c252.1$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6211855.1%65 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed OG40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked OG40c247.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tundra Esports67c244.57$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5710659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.