TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Cougarsof Kansas Jayhawks, Houston Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,028 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57e9…df05backed Kansas Jayhawks2c16,084$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Houston Cougars67c15,503$10,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.954146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kansas Jayhawks33c15,034$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.3170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Houston Cougars68c15,000$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Kansas Jayhawks33c14,926$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.434436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Kansas Jayhawks32c14,696$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725.4113746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Cougars70c11,626$8,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.7418954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Kansas Jayhawks32c6,450$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.165947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Cougars68c5,555$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Cougars68c3,264$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.391,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Houston Cougars67c3,214$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.61,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars78c2,708$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars68c2,223$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.362,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks21c1,996$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.484,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kansas Jayhawks32c1,834$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.821,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Cougars79c1,315$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.293,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Houston Cougars67c1,274$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.319554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kansas Jayhawks32c1,023$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Houston Cougars67c999.93$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9821549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Houston Cougars68c928.17$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.011947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kansas Jayhawks1c860.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039f…4a5ebacked Kansas Jayhawks33c832.9$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Kansas Jayhawks32c734.36$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23537142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Houston Cougars68c713.22$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.239866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Kansas Jayhawks34c656.57$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.237727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Houston Cougars68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Kansas Jayhawks20c561.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.366538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Kansas Jayhawks23c531.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6714151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Houston Cougars69c496.26$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.847871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars75c495.26$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Houston Cougars77c485.89$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2819641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Kansas Jayhawks18c485.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.722532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Kansas Jayhawks20c433.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Kansas Jayhawks32c396.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.031637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e13…2ac4backed Kansas Jayhawks14c330.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Kansas Jayhawks22c325.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.574643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d44…a304backed Kansas Jayhawks32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas Jayhawks25c307.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.411,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kansas Jayhawks13c301.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas Jayhawks31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Kansas Jayhawks32c282.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.49341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Kansas Jayhawks24c267.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Kansas Jayhawks32c224.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.875639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Kansas Jayhawks33c219.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.516436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Kansas Jayhawks33c218.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0420452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e79…0658backed Kansas Jayhawks21c211.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72532%8 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Houston Cougars67c207.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.427655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kansas Jayhawks7c199.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas Jayhawks33c198.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Kansas Jayhawks10c159.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9925829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Kansas Jayhawks33c150.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.619745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Houston Cougars67c139.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.781,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1992…bab8backed Kansas Jayhawks19c129.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Kansas Jayhawks32c127.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7629337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Houston Cougars68c114.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.782846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…f8cabacked Kansas Jayhawks27c109.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Houston Cougars66c99.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9949157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Kansas Jayhawks18c99.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9116445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Houston Cougars70c99.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.785269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Kansas Jayhawks21c94.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.887350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas Jayhawks22c85.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.783,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas Jayhawks23c83.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Houston Cougars68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks20c77.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Kansas Jayhawks33c75.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.816048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Houston Cougars77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Kansas Jayhawks33c69.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.929845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Kansas Jayhawks32c62.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.854438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Kansas Jayhawks33c60.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.851030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Kansas Jayhawks23c59.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.854231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Houston Cougars67c56.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5418644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Kansas Jayhawks22c51.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.024045%18 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Houston Cougars80c50.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Kansas Jayhawks32c47.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc269…ffb8backed Kansas Jayhawks33c45.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Houston Cougars68c43.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0111654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Houston Cougars68c41.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Kansas Jayhawks32c33.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7531448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Houston Cougars67c30.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.111552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed Houston Cougars67c29.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Houston Cougars73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.359454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Houston Cougars68c23.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.413161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd036…ec4bbacked Houston Cougars69c20.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…32a7backed Houston Cougars67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Houston Cougars67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Houston Cougars69c19.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Houston Cougars79c13.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.955763.2%36 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.