Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7213fee11e92b34db198ee162d94f59ea94789a34c18dfab4684292a4df43dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,728 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 4,091$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.49 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 2,894$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.19 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,171$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 1,155$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 339.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 303.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 202.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 198.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 142.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 128.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 57c | 124.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 103.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 83.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 60.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kansas Jayhawks | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 40.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Houston Cougars | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-11.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-4.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-6.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-8.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.