MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4462f860026dbd47ba96be8c79797a087a3dc349c83876a6a13f42db2382c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Dodgers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Dodgers | 54c | 52,103$28,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,135.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 46c | 17,064$7,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 46c | 7,585$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.9 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 64c | 6,036$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 40c | 4,857$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Padres | 51c | 4,539$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 46c | 3,881$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Dodgers | 16c | 3,370$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.15 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 46c | 2,723$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.5 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers | 23c | 2,548$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.73 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Dodgers | 53c | 2,240$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 48c | 2,155$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.81 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Dodgers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 58c | 1,960$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.26 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,738$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.54 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,608$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.53 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Dodgers | 17c | 1,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.14 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 48c | 974.71$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.85 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 22c | 927.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 46c | 900.49$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 48c | 861.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 52c | 831.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…302bbacked Dodgers | 36c | 811$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 52c | 771.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 53c | 749.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Dodgers | 54c | 738.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 55c | 731.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 47c | 638$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 55c | 570$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 563.13$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Dodgers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 47c | 549.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 47c | 524$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 62c | 511.78$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Dodgers | 50c | 502.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 46c | 492.59$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 46c | 431.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 49c | 422.61$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Padres | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Dodgers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Dodgers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Dodgers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 48c | 369.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 18c | 333.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 48c | 325.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 48c | 319.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 38c | 310.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 75c | 309.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Padres | 48c | 303$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers | 33c | 302.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Dodgers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Padres | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 51c | 294.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Padres | 46c | 293.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 75c | 276$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Dodgers | 59c | 254.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 32c | 249.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Padres | 72c | 245.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Dodgers | 51c | 229.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Dodgers | 27c | 220.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Dodgers | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers | 32c | 200.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Dodgers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Dodgers | 18c | 196.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 52c | 189.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 187.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 53c | 186.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 76c | 181.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Dodgers | 60c | 166.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 51c | 162.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 78c | 143.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Dodgers | 53c | 141$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 46c | 133.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Padres | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Dodgers | 54c | 128.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Dodgers | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Padres | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 59c | 121.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers | 38c | 119.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 53c | 114.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Padres | 46c | 110.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Padresthis page
- Dodgers vs. Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.