Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50aacb1c2e84bf0484379e57bed41a792ff667b498b60d36d341229f0483055f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 25c | 3,157$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 44c | 2,977$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.01 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked No | 16c | 2,377$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 72c | 1,667$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 1,431$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 36c | 1,004$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 491.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 467.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 34c | 460.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 406.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 75c | 347.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 340.59$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 36c | 327.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 309.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 56c | 224.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 172.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 167.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 66c | 150.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 34c | 150.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 26c | 148.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 75c | 139.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 114.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 75c | 89.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 16c | 88.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 61c | 86.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 75c | 79.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…18c0backed Yes | 74c | 70.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…e9b3backed Yes | 75c | 69.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed No | 31c | 59.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 25c | 57.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 38c | 54.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yes | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 25c | 47.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 31c | 43.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…6431backed Yes | 71c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 32.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Yes | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…c9d0backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 74c | 24.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 64c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 74c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 75c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will Samsunspor vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.