NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c61b985af73dc4e985789416236d598bf8c30e33c29fe65860ce32590cb9c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Flyers | 55c | 201,366$110,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,054.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Flames | 47c | 130,000$61,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,899.97 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 33c | 90,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flyers | 53c | 87,557$46,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,256.31 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 45c | 74,976$33,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,227.42 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 53c | 61,000$32,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,330.04 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flames | 79c | 58,988$46,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,464.76 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flames | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flyers | 54c | 42,341$22,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,996.06 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 50c | 31,450$15,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,784.84 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Flames | 46c | 30,000$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,350 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 45c | 20,574$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,352 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 44c | 15,779$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,788.05 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Flames | 50c | 15,188$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…aa04backed Flyers | 50c | 15,188$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 45c | 14,405$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.08 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Flyers | 54c | 14,159$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.9 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Flyers | 56c | 12,750$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Flames | 30c | 10,200$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…ca7fbacked Flyers | 70c | 10,200$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 45c | 9,769$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.4 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Flyers | 53c | 7,736$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 75c | 7,462$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 46c | 7,086$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.38 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 58c | 6,618$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.29 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Flames | 45c | 6,518$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flames | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 46c | 5,594$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.9 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.14 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flyers | 53c | 5,274$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.98 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 54c | 5,237$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.34 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Flyers | 32c | 5,000$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 45c | 4,542$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.1 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flames | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Flyers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Flames | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…6588backed Flyers | 54c | 3,296$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Flames | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 52c | 3,170$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.48 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 46c | 2,928$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Flyers | 54c | 2,585$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 47c | 2,392$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.76 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 74c | 2,270$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 45c | 2,245$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.9 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…4b4abacked Flames | 47c | 2,047$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Flyers | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 1,999$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Flyers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Flames | 50c | 1,847$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.45 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 44c | 1,821$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flyers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Flyers | 5c | 1,799$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Flames | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flames | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 5c | 1,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Flames | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,340$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3560backed Flyers | 2c | 1,327$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Flames | 46c | 1,315$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.06 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Flyers | 54c | 1,258$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…6c2fbacked Flames | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 55c | 1,180$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.93 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 70c | 1,175$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Flyers | 54c | 888.88$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Flyers | 57c | 884.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 6c | 800.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Flames | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 53c | 758$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 52c | 699.98$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames | 43c | 633.25$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.95 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 66c | 630.66$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Flames | 48c | 626$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…c6bcbacked Flames | 48c | 613.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…980cbacked Flyers | 53c | 611$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flyers | 30c | 559.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Flyers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flyers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 55c | 470$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…b01abacked Flyers | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…91ecbacked Flyers | 55c | 435.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Flyers | 56c | 430.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Flyers | 56c | 420$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flyers | 54c | 415.63$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 56c | 384$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Flames | 46c | 375$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Flyers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Flyers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flyers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Flyers | 34c | 359.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Flyers | 47c | 320$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Flyersthis page
- Flames vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.