TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed No17c33,448$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.7285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No16c24,600$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c13,964$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No17c9,973$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.379856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No20c9,288$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.986043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No20c7,445$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48910236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c6,858$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c6,402$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.6923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c4,730$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.952,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed No16c4,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c4,195$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.411,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes77c3,919$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.429154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No18c3,904$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes76c2,622$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.881973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No20c2,520$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50412847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No18c2,429$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.521,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes80c2,103$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7714544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No20c1,703$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.63122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No16c1,694$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27117327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes68c1,500$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.01650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9216753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No18c1,182$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.161,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c798.96$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.171,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes71c582$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.614548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No19c500.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.165164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+87.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No10c499.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No23c487.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes78c481.78$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.783560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.755717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes64c465.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.763240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No17c458.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes72c458.15$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6815461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes79c340$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes63c315.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4142240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1882…ba8bbacked No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Yes67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991520%3 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524b…c8b1backed Yes74c266$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x436e…9a0abacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No18c249.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.946050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No19c247.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Yes78c240.9$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.632050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes78c239.39$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8913360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Yes80c232.55$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes67c195.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed No7c195.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes70c190$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes58c169.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.435134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c165$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes66c151.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No21c149.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7933124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No12c139$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes75c134.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.544951%25 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes76c132.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.896642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes76c131.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.993540%14 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes79c127.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8310940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked No26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes65c115.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.269330.1%28 W · 65 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No18c114$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed No19c112.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.444748.9%23 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed No19c106.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed No18c105.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes75c105$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe24…b0acbacked No20c102.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196613.6%9 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Yes77c97.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+92.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.228633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7355…4036backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7753…400fbacked Yes78c78.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes69c76.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.676753.7%36 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e1…0fd5backed Yes76c65.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No28c64.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yes70c63.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Yes79c63.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.253976.9%30 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2313939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x914d…af6ebacked No18c62.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No17c61.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…2decbacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes78c54.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8211232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.410569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Yes68c48.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.533265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd470…8951backed Yes77c40.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.