Premier League · resolved market
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c60cc06564ba0594838395f4f5ab260239ab0fad62e728f9dcd6681f44f594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 15,209$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.25 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 5,530$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 7c | 3,040$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…ee7dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,102$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 1,598$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…004bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,229$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 590$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…3ed6backed Yes | 7c | 440.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 396.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…c0acbacked Yes | 7c | 362.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 6c | 336.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 7c | 325.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 7c | 290.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +460%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 6c | 220.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…1f17backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 8c | 213.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…b523backed Yes | 7c | 212.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…86ebbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…3ea0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…7856backed Yes | 12c | 96.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
- Will Macclesfield FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.