TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,441 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c32,291$20,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,503.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over38c16,941$6,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,437.691050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c15,656$6,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,204.8918923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under62c7,998$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.3221058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over37c6,466$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.1333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under61c5,905$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.946659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over34c4,300$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7805653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over15c1,250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.225632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under61c1,072$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.072650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under61c1,066$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under62c1,030$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5214249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over39c1,017$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.679054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over38c991.74$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.234242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over21c965.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.758744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over37c938.23$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.144017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under62c897.38$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3414254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over13c768.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under61c702.58$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over39c635.69$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9211429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Over37c525.32$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over39c508.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3313636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over39c508.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3311348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over38c449.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over38c391.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.767464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over39c381.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c335.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.249937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Over39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Under62c319.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over31c270.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over19c262.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.734344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c260.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c258.88$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over39c254.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.177538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4759…0b5cbacked Over39c254.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under61c243.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under67c241.39$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under65c236.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under62c223.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over38c218.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.911650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over18c213.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.486937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under61c167.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.054557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c163.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under62c159.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under62c159.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under63c157.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over39c141.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.39137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over38c141.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Over39c127.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under61c121.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over40c109.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.632445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c99.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9620452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over13c99.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over21c99.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over39c92.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.086035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c92.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over39c92.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c81…3c02backed Over39c89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under62c80.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6919542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over40c80.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under62c77.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.327252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over39c76.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.757950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over39c73.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under66c64.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c62.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdeb…8cd1backed Under62c59.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under60c57.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over39c55.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf17…c5ddbacked Over38c52.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over37c51.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.895740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over39c50.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over36c49.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.989944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…4edbbacked Over38c41.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under63c39.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.563663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4293…792fbacked Over39c38.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over38c37.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Under65c31.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c30.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under60c28.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.39857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under62c25.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under62c17.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.752466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.