Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a10b0907c73d4cbbcc5c7584fea2c218e47aed6858578e38e88befb83f98c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 6,289$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 27c | 2,050$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,732$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 1,492$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 54c | 1,457$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.32 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,419$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 49c | 1,083$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 527.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 46c | 399.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 349.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 325.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 25c | 317.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 299.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 54c | 269.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed No | 54c | 257.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 52c | 232.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 47c | 217.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 23c | 213.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 39c | 199.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 18c | 198.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked No | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 172.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 155.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 35c | 134.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 53c | 131.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 40c | 130.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 121.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Yes | 47c | 117.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 117.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 43c | 113.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 48c | 103.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed No | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 81.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 79.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…538cbacked Yes | 48c | 69.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1ab3backed Yes | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 46c | 58.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 47.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed No | 54c | 44.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…c5ddbacked Yes | 46c | 42.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 54c | 38.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 29.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 78c | 29.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.