CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9012ad9cbe6b3625adb7ce4af1218710bf1c2566ae8a405f86f07545380d9ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vasco Esportsof Vasco Esports, Prison Breakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Prison Breakers | 47c | 2,060$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Vasco Esports | 54c | 1,725$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.76 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vasco Esports | 55c | 1,310$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.66 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Prison Breakers | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Prison Breakers | 46c | 885.4$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.28 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Prison Breakers | 71c | 825.74$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vasco Esports | 42c | 800$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Vasco Esports | 52c | 763.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Prison Breakers | 43c | 706.9$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Prison Breakers | 45c | 706.1$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Vasco Esports | 57c | 705.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c83…53dcbacked Prison Breakers | 49c | 551.07$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Vasco Esports | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Vasco Esports | 49c | 402.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Prison Breakers | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Vasco Esports | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Vasco Esports | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked Prison Breakers | 38c | 209.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Prison Breakers | 23c | 200.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed Prison Breakers | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Prison Breakers | 16c | 125.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Prison Breakers | 15c | 118.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Vasco Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Vasco Esports | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Vasco Esports | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…9ccfbacked Vasco Esports | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Vasco Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Vasco Esports | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vasco Esports | 52c | 30.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Vasco Esports | 69c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…9cf7backed Prison Breakers | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vasco Esports | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…117cbacked Prison Breakers | 77c | 26.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Prison Breakers | 70c | 23.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Prison Breakers | 57c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Prison Breakers | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Prison Breakers | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…9be0backed Vasco Esports | 65c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Prison Breakers - Map 1 WinnerPrison Breakers won
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Prison Breakers - Map 2 WinnerVasco Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.