NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093c5430e1e91859fc268a0988316a910aa07d93693d233f6aa3aa60ad5426d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Capitals, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jets | 56c | 7,463$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.25 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Capitals | 44c | 5,456$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 43c | 5,235$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Jets | 57c | 4,820$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.73 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 45c | 4,002$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…4831backed Capitals | 43c | 3,538$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Jets | 57c | 3,412$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.41 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…f41cbacked Capitals | 43c | 3,393$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jets | 57c | 2,927$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.7 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 44c | 2,873$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.95 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Capitals | 42c | 2,556$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…9b07backed Jets | 57c | 2,367$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…c171backed Jets | 57c | 2,331$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Capitals | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Capitals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jets | 56c | 2,237$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.91 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…a8ccbacked Jets | 57c | 2,233$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 42c | 2,150$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 61c | 1,962$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.02 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6ba6backed Capitals | 33c | 1,641$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Jets | 59c | 1,200$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…51e9backed Capitals | 43c | 1,178$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Jets | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets | 50c | 984.35$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.18 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Jets | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Capitals | 42c | 897.76$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jets | 57c | 876.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.1 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Jets | 58c | 855.17$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Jets | 58c | 843.1$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jets | 57c | 792.93$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…eb4bbacked Jets | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Capitals | 41c | 681.36$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…ac5fbacked Capitals | 43c | 672.09$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets | 57c | 664$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets | 57c | 568.84$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…8ce5backed Jets | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…a5efbacked Capitals | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 42c | 449.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 42c | 413.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 42c | 413$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 60c | 340.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Jets | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Jets | 60c | 336.08$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…a7cfbacked Jets | 57c | 297.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 18c | 276.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 44c | 272.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Jets | 57c | 271$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Capitals | 43c | 256.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Jets | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 43c | 234.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Capitals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5240backed Capitals | 44c | 227.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…ede9backed Capitals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 54c | 185.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…143bbacked Jets | 57c | 178.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Jets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Jets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Jets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Capitals | 20c | 172.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Capitals | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Jets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Jets | 58c | 153.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…07f1backed Capitals | 44c | 152.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Jets | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…4726backed Capitals | 43c | 147.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Capitals | 44c | 145.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Capitals | 43c | 136.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 32c | 132.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Jets | 58c | 126.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Capitals | 44c | 122.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Jets | 58c | 117.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…0644backed Capitals | 44c | 115.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…ce97backed Capitals | 43c | 111.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Jets | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…97d5backed Capitals | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Jets | 58c | 106.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Capitals | 43c | 106.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…fd2abacked Capitals | 44c | 103.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Capitals | 44c | 100.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jets | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Jets | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Jets | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…5866backed Jets | 58c | 95.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f982backed Jets | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Jets | 58c | 93.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…92b4backed Jets | 58c | 92.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…c324backed Capitals | 43c | 91.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Capitals | 44c | 91.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Capitals | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…117bbacked Jets | 57c | 89.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…f84ebacked Jets | 58c | 86.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.