NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45e095d5dd65505e0979e5a47d1cce49f9aac219ccf9f1144268b3ef0fdd86c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Celtics, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 44c | 31,455$13,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,768.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Celtics | 66c | 23,642$15,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,582.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Celtics | 60c | 20,341$12,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.43 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lakers | 53c | 11,833$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,541.2 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 35c | 10,329$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Celtics | 50c | 8,077$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Celtics | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.77 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 34c | 6,264$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.26 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Lakers | 30c | 6,012$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.88 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 26c | 5,930$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.03 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…70a7backed Celtics | 69c | 5,700$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 67c | 5,117$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Lakers | 31c | 5,050$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 56c | 4,995$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.73 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…3aa4backed Celtics | 41c | 4,851$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lakers | 31c | 4,350$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 65c | 4,317$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.2 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Celtics | 17c | 4,317$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.34 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…2577backed Lakers | 31c | 4,050$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Celtics | 69c | 3,400$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 67c | 3,393$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.49 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.63 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 77c | 3,323$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.93 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Celtics | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.95 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers | 32c | 2,867$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.61 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 13c | 2,593$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 59c | 2,527$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lakers | 71c | 2,461$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.59 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 40c | 2,457$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…f1d0backed Celtics | 70c | 2,450$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Celtics | 18c | 2,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,080$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.32 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Lakers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Celtics | 52c | 1,929$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.65 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Celtics | 65c | 1,850$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Lakers | 35c | 1,840$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Celtics | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Celtics | 67c | 1,710$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.21 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Lakers | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Celtics | 21c | 1,400$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 23c | 1,315$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 32c | 1,263$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.61 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 76c | 1,250$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…480ebacked Celtics | 27c | 1,249$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Lakers | 70c | 1,246$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Celtics | 72c | 1,131$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.94 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Celtics | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Celtics | 4c | 1,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 34c | 1,028$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Lakers | 36c | 1,021$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Celtics | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Lakers | 69c | 956.55$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lakers | 32c | 953.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.07 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Celtics | 64c | 941.25$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Lakers | 35c | 899.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.83 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lakers | 58c | 863.78$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.17 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…4087backed Celtics | 64c | 850$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…4740backed Lakers | 36c | 850$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Celtics | 13c | 849.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 2c | 761.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Celtics | 16c | 713.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 34c | 710.73$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.62 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Celtics | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 56c | 700$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Lakers | 35c | 685.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Celtics | 65c | 685.14$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Celtics | 19c | 662.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Celtics | 70c | 657.01$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Celtics | 45c | 652.93$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Celtics | 70c | 643.66$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed Celtics | 69c | 624.37$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 614.84$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 34c | 608$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…dc72backed Celtics | 6c | 602.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Celtics | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Celtics | 67c | 599.95$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.96 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 559.09$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.91 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Celtics | 70c | 558.5$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Celtics | 69c | 555.71$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.49 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 51c | 553.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.51 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Celtics | 48c | 521.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Lakers | 30c | 516.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Celtics | 50c | 476.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 34c | 464.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Celtics | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 62c | 451.41$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 36c | 450$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 36c | 444$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 34c | 440$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 65c | 426.47$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.21 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Celtics | 66c | 425.9$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Lakers | 63c | 412.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Celtics | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…2950backed Celtics | 43c | 401.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 64c | 400.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.