NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28010eca4446fdd1f3bae2b932fe0071d27dcbab290d70d884155dacf06eb9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a2…8471backed Lightning | 63c | 76,003$47,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,121.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…ad9ebacked Canadiens | 37c | 76,000$28,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens | 6c | 8,375$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.63 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens | 14c | 3,505$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.22 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Canadiens | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Lightning | 61c | 2,998$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,962$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.48 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…dfcbbacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,640$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…e331backed Lightning | 58c | 2,239$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 62c | 2,013$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.23 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,902$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.76 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…0e7abacked Lightning | 58c | 1,792$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…bffbbacked Canadiens | 42c | 1,707$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canadiens | 42c | 1,676$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.89 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,396$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.77 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,341$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,190$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Canadiens | 9c | 1,074$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Canadiens | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lightning | 60c | 931.61$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…279cbacked Canadiens | 42c | 799.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Lightning | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 63c | 659$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Canadiens | 42c | 642.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Canadiens | 38c | 639.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 62c | 596.79$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 61c | 592$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…20f7backed Lightning | 58c | 540$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 64c | 538.29$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Lightning | 64c | 495.31$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9c99backed Canadiens | 37c | 494.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Canadiens | 35c | 428.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Canadiens | 14c | 358.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 59c | 357.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens | 7c | 354.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Canadiens | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…4e11backed Lightning | 58c | 317.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens | 39c | 294.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Canadiens | 40c | 289.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…67d6backed Lightning | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Canadiens | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Canadiens | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Canadiens | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 61c | 246$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Lightning | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Canadiens | 7c | 209.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Lightning | 59c | 180.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…f416backed Canadiens | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 59c | 170.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Canadiens | 11c | 160.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…a785backed Lightning | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Canadiens | 38c | 149.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lightning | 61c | 148$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…91ccbacked Canadiens | 12c | 144.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 11c | 132.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Lightning | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Canadiens | 43c | 116.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Lightning | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 61c | 106.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Canadiens | 37c | 103.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked Lightning | 64c | 100.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Lightning | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Canadiens | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 13c | 99.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…b4e3backed Lightning | 66c | 94.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Canadiens | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…315dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 92.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Canadiens | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…44d5backed Canadiens | 43c | 79.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Lightning | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Lightning | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Lightning | 59c | 64.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…49a2backed Canadiens | 42c | 61.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…628ebacked Lightning | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…b9f9backed Lightning | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…cca3backed Lightning | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Lightning | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…91aabacked Canadiens | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 35c | 48.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…b6afbacked Canadiens | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…bc19backed Canadiens | 41c | 44.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Lightning | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Lightning | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…b948backed Canadiens | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…fb92backed Lightning | 59c | 39.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…8884backed Lightning | 54c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…98b9backed Canadiens | 41c | 38.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…9f98backed Lightning | 59c | 36.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…bc0abacked Canadiens | 41c | 36.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…a203backed Canadiens | 42c | 35.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddf…23a1backed Canadiens | 41c | 34.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…160fbacked Lightning | 59c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lightning | 76c | 34.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.