Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Viktoria Plzen?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe0cfce3cd4626d555645e98dd4f25d5631ea4f22b64ef281f6ea8250ae4b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 66c | 3,290$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.5 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 66c | 707.52$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 70c | 542.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 37c | 539.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 71c | 240.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 8c | 216.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes | 68c | 163.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 32c | 129.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 20c | 93.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 66c | 83.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 68c | 52.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…a22ebacked Yes | 68c | 47.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…09f8backed No | 43c | 41.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…f45abacked No | 37c | 39.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…1dc8backed Yes | 61c | 39.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cf…28f8backed Yes | 60c | 38.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 66c | 37.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c03…f7ecbacked No | 44c | 35.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…c255backed Yes | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…e6b5backed Yes | 56c | 33.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…80f6backed No | 44c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…c58cbacked No | 40c | 31.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…4036backed Yes | 69c | 29.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c17…e41bbacked Yes | 58c | 29.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…76cbbacked Yes | 57c | 29.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1aa5backed No | 41c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…8bf6backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…a900backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…d6d6backed Yes | 65c | 28.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…480dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…90a7backed No | 39c | 27.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…42d0backed Yes | 59c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…7757backed No | 41c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…5fedbacked No | 39c | 26.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21f…73e3backed Yes | 68c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…3043backed Yes | 64c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4330…6142backed Yes | 57c | 22.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…2d7dbacked Yes | 65c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a99…fa33backed Yes | 56c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…73e8backed Yes | 67c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…c064backed Yes | 59c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…8747backed Yes | 64c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…34bdbacked Yes | 58c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…ef96backed Yes | 68c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…1d73backed Yes | 63c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…98a3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…19bdbacked Yes | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.