NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2f24815be7a34d5ad150987a590ac45bf29f870c6fb4be37cae888eb342836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Sabres, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Sabres | 49c | 7,504$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.91 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Capitals | 49c | 5,076$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Capitals | 51c | 4,940$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 67c | 4,577$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.04 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Sabres | 33c | 4,367$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.11 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres | 51c | 3,896$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.29 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Capitals | 49c | 3,786$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 45c | 3,746$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.24 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Capitals | 65c | 2,673$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 35c | 1,981$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.69 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,913$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.17 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 36c | 1,913$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.64 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Sabres | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Capitals | 64c | 1,510$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.1 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 36c | 1,358$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 34c | 1,140$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Capitals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Sabres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Sabres | 36c | 993.93$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Capitals | 65c | 769.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Sabres | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Capitals | 65c | 599.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Capitals | 65c | 584.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Capitals | 61c | 555.25$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Capitals | 48c | 500.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Capitals | 64c | 466.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…d0e4backed Sabres | 36c | 466.51$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Capitals | 65c | 461.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Sabres | 43c | 456.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Capitals | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Capitals | 54c | 420$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Capitals | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 28c | 389.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 66c | 378.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 65c | 340.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Sabres | 35c | 338.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 36c | 307.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Sabres | 52c | 276.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Sabres | 35c | 274.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sabres | 39c | 235.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Capitals | 61c | 206.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Sabres | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Capitals | 59c | 162.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Sabres | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Capitals | 56c | 161.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Capitals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Capitals | 64c | 157.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Capitals | 64c | 149.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Capitals | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…695fbacked Sabres | 36c | 138.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…c87bbacked Capitals | 64c | 132.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Capitals | 53c | 113.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Capitals | 65c | 106.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Capitals | 66c | 105.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Capitals | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…c496backed Capitals | 65c | 100.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Capitals | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Capitals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Sabres | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…5220backed Sabres | 37c | 96.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Capitals | 64c | 94.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…6a03backed Sabres | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 65c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Sabres | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Capitals | 69c | 79.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Capitals | 67c | 79.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Sabres | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed Capitals | 67c | 71.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 64c | 70.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 66c | 63.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Capitals | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…e143backed Sabres | 37c | 61.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 65c | 61.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f44…ce2fbacked Capitals | 65c | 61.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Capitals | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked Capitals | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…5ac4backed Sabres | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…e18ebacked Capitals | 64c | 52.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…a4f7backed Sabres | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Capitals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Capitals | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Capitals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…455abacked Sabres | 39c | 48.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Sabres | 40c | 47.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Sabres | 37c | 46.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…d9e9backed Sabres | 36c | 45.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…b148backed Capitals | 64c | 45.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…3f2fbacked Capitals | 63c | 43.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…0865backed Capitals | 59c | 43.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…2919backed Capitals | 61c | 42.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.