Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Olympiacos beat Twente?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eebfe1ae8bbc8f6d573521f0aae41b4b27120960f9d4226662097c06ad9de44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 39c | 7,805$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 56c | 5,841$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.81 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 55c | 5,630$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.4 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 44c | 5,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 39c | 5,372$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.08 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 54c | 434.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 143.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Yes | 53c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 24c | 80.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 56c | 73.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…9cadbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…18fabacked No | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…06a4backed No | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 50c | 20.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympiacos beat Twente?this page
- Will Twente beat Olympiacos?No won
- Will the match between Olympiacos and Twente end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.