TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c42,760$26,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,285.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No38c31,023$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,234.371936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No40c14,419$5,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,697.957139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No47c5,442$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.552240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No40c3,891$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.2227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c3,866$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.6740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes61c1,050$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.51520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No39c826.97$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes58c816.36$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes49c687$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.631225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c594.91$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c567.69$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes17c567.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes63c499.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8720255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes62c480.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.22138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c401.2$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes60c378$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c376.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4343255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes52c366.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf5…ef29backed Yes60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked Yes61c327.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes53c301.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No38c299.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9911947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes45c294.76$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes64c266$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2410063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Yes45c260.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes53c247.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes50c238.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…39f5backed Yes52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes60c199$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.41225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70c0…940dbacked Yes53c188.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No37c165.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes62c161.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…8771backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7217744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No38c137.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.292871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No39c137.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No37c131.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.93354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c125.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6429545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes46c117.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes60c108.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.511261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes54c102.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes61c101.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.922157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes53c94.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes19c93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes13c88.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.495143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes53c83.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes62c67.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No40c61.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.795947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c99…974abacked Yes62c61.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…a487backed Yes62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes48c52.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes58c51.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.58253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed Yes61c45.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3f…512cbacked Yes61c40.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes64c38.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No38c35.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.292744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaeb…0512backed Yes54c35.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No47c35.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.593250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f59…b571backed Yes31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba2…2803backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes52c32.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.677452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No37c32.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188e…4812backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c53…0991backed Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No48c21.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.368452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.