La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d87a1450ed4bce88b5f7dd564d23e29f5433debd497997447a9de0bcf463c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 72c | 1,031$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 16c | 768$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.28 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 490.57$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 400.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 13c | 371.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 26c | 370.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 63c | 348.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 64c | 313.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 18c | 292$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 12c | 121.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 52c | 76.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…7c8fbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 62c | 72.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 47c | 67.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 15c | 65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…f21ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…eec9backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.