TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens56c1,910$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.5435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Red Wings46c1,180$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1414949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Wings59c999.97$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9bb…38d0backed Red Wings59c947.49$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf573…de66backed Canadiens41c938.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Red Wings60c838.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Canadiens42c833.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Red Wings59c638.85$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.546149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8eb…c973backed Red Wings59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Canadiens42c501.48$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens40c497.85$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.711,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Canadiens42c400.34$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Red Wings60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Canadiens41c394.03$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.482948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens42c380.03$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings59c299.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.971,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings58c273.39$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe683…71e6backed Red Wings58c257.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings59c250.02$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Red Wings58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Canadiens43c249.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14348748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Red Wings68c241.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.44553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Red Wings31c200.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Canadiens42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Canadiens42c197.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Red Wings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Wings59c168.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Canadiens51c167.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.866959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fd…449ebacked Red Wings58c163.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…2820backed Canadiens41c158.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab1…a4e2backed Canadiens45c157.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.811050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e5…c92fbacked Red Wings58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3167…fa01backed Canadiens41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Red Wings19c138.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Canadiens40c130.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens56c128.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.021,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens40c112.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens39c108.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.081,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Canadiens42c101.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Red Wings60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Canadiens37c96.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6713846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Red Wings52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Canadiens42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.247950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f67…e028backed Red Wings60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0055…1c98backed Red Wings59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens51c82.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Red Wings49c80.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.482748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Canadiens40c74.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5601…077bbacked Canadiens42c71.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54bb…a03dbacked Canadiens41c67.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…9367backed Red Wings60c66.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens42c62.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb843…5a91backed Canadiens40c56.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Red Wings60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Canadiens41c48.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5719057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3a…159bbacked Canadiens42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe788…1938backed Red Wings61c44.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Canadiens41c44.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728a…cc65backed Red Wings59c43.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1c…97d5backed Canadiens42c42.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0144…6fc0backed Canadiens41c40.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef2…d229backed Canadiens42c40.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cad…3079backed Red Wings59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb214…fe82backed Canadiens40c39.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Red Wings27c39.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc0…cf28backed Canadiens41c39.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc818…8aafbacked Red Wings59c38.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…0eacbacked Red Wings59c38.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3a…c0ddbacked Canadiens41c38.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7454…d427backed Red Wings59c38.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…bc23backed Canadiens41c38.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.754100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe46d…5b3cbacked Red Wings59c38.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc972…f06fbacked Canadiens41c38.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa759…f0eabacked Red Wings59c38.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Red Wings60c36.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…f7f1backed Red Wings59c36.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4d…10d6backed Red Wings60c36.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Wings54c35.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.413754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49a8…7bbdbacked Red Wings59c35.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9aa…dfbcbacked Canadiens41c35.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…1719backed Red Wings59c35.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…15c0backed Red Wings59c35.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a2…dc29backed Canadiens40c34.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9898…a4b4backed Red Wings59c34.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d1…ebb7backed Canadiens40c33.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+74.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17fe…94efbacked Canadiens41c33.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…3212backed Red Wings59c33.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Red Wings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee74…442dbacked Red Wings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b8…3790backed Red Wings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Red Wings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…e703backed Red Wings60c33.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…61d1backed Canadiens40c32.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a4…ab38backed Red Wings60c32.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1fddbacked Red Wings62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c7…b893backed Red Wings59c31.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba6…1d23backed Red Wings59c31.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.