Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Anderlecht beat Hoffenheim?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5698b09745d80ff14c29ae713560756123d166dafe307150420312dbdf309199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 44c | 1,708$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.2 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 1,225$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.73 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 74c | 1,008$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 56c | 632.58$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.54 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed No | 63c | 558.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 44c | 531.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 44c | 281.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 269.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 64c | 184.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 44c | 140$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…9f11backed Yes | 45c | 89.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…58c3backed Yes | 44c | 61.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…9d86backed Yes | 42c | 40.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…e372backed No | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…d9cdbacked Yes | 44c | 38.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…d237backed No | 60c | 36.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…0b1ebacked No | 58c | 32.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…a111backed Yes | 39c | 31.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…6fcdbacked No | 56c | 30.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b393backed No | 55c | 29.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e95backed Yes | 42c | 29.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0f…bdfcbacked No | 57c | 28.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…3c3fbacked No | 55c | 28.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…8517backed No | 56c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…315bbacked Yes | 42c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…e828backed Yes | 45c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…5a48backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…9574backed No | 60c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1a…f0c6backed No | 58c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…17febacked No | 57c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…6060backed No | 58c | 18.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anderlecht beat Hoffenheim?this page
- Will Hoffenheim beat Anderlecht?Yes won
- Will the match between Anderlecht and TSG Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.