Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Porto beat Maccabi TLV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12e5d5d6191fe0736638b45e4be9f7928437a0ac9a4ea6b2966635281a72112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 66c | 1,026$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 33c | 1,002$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.81 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 969.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.08 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 34c | 950$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 34c | 582.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 68c | 529.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 251.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 34c | 200.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c1…4f03backed Yes | 67c | 190.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…9784backed Yes | 67c | 149.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 65c | 136.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 34c | 119.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed No | 37c | 106.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…bd13backed Yes | 65c | 99.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 62c | 75.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 62c | 56.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 34c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…d158backed Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…c96bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…b069backed No | 35c | 36.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…8bcdbacked Yes | 65c | 32.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…2bc6backed Yes | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…265abacked No | 35c | 30.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…3d3fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…4d8abacked No | 35c | 30.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…dc23backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…35b4backed Yes | 70c | 27.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…5033backed Yes | 63c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…934dbacked Yes | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…f38abacked Yes | 66c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…0e0dbacked Yes | 65c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…c6cebacked Yes | 54c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…6649backed Yes | 71c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…9f98backed Yes | 63c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Porto beat Maccabi TLV?this page
- Will Maccabi TLV beat Porto?No won
- Will the match between Maccabi TLV and FC Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.