NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23eef07a14945ba7a440374164fdea826c9841311f0502d01826c5ee12366873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 40c | 1,259$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.81 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Utah | 40c | 1,001$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.63 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Utah | 45c | 437$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.35 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Utah | 78c | 435.45$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Utah | 44c | 416.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.98 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Sabres | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Utah | 47c | 212.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Utah | 44c | 206.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah | 43c | 156.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Utah | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Sabres | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Sabres | 53c | 124.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…8b63backed Utah | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Sabres | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Sabres | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Utah | 44c | 98.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 56c | 95.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Sabres | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Sabres | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…6084backed Utah | 32c | 80.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…15fabacked Sabres | 68c | 64.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…69a2backed Sabres | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…ab6abacked Sabres | 39c | 57.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Sabres | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Sabres | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…6ba2backed Sabres | 55c | 44.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Utah | 47c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…6ec3backed Utah | 61c | 42.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…4e11backed Utah | 45c | 40.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…b66abacked Sabres | 55c | 40.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…0289backed Sabres | 53c | 39.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…4c1fbacked Sabres | 55c | 37.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Utah | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…5101backed Utah | 44c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…dd4cbacked Utah | 44c | 23.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Utah | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…8783backed Sabres | 68c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.