NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f607969477960098bcc650123e03807e26b3f0492e44e146410afe909b83791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Flyers, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Flyers | 19c | 2,095$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2188…29babacked Wild | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 1,814$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 39c | 1,594$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.01 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebc…e882backed Flyers | 39c | 1,425$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Wild | 80c | 1,368$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Flyers | 35c | 909.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.38 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Flyers | 42c | 836.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 6c | 791.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Flyers | 38c | 721.11$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Wild | 61c | 673$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 40c | 658.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Wild | 62c | 653.4$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Flyers | 31c | 528.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 5c | 518.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…9850backed Flyers | 39c | 474.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wild | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flyers | 38c | 390.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Wild | 72c | 359.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flyers | 39c | 351.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Wild | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…c73dbacked Flyers | 40c | 330.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…47c9backed Wild | 60c | 330.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 26c | 330.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Flyers | 41c | 329.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Flyers | 39c | 305.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Flyers | 6c | 290$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flyers | 42c | 264.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Flyers | 38c | 229.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers | 40c | 211.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed Wild | 62c | 209.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Flyers | 5c | 203$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Flyers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Wild | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Wild | 62c | 162.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Wild | 61c | 162.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild | 59c | 151.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…7a4bbacked Wild | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Flyers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…1362backed Flyers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Wild | 62c | 110.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Wild | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…f537backed Wild | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wild | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Flyers | 41c | 99.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers | 40c | 98.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Flyers | 41c | 96.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Wild | 63c | 93.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked Wild | 79c | 93.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 18c | 91.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Wild | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Wild | 61c | 80.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…b1ffbacked Flyers | 39c | 80.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Flyers | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…d541backed Flyers | 39c | 74.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Wild | 61c | 73.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Wild | 59c | 73.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 40c | 72.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Wild | 55c | 69.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Wild | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d19dbacked Flyers | 40c | 61.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…efa9backed Wild | 60c | 60.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…21d5backed Wild | 60c | 54.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…8a83backed Flyers | 42c | 53.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…5b1fbacked Flyers | 40c | 53.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…045dbacked Flyers | 39c | 51.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wild | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Wild | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Wild | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Wild | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…eb15backed Wild | 58c | 49.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Wild | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Flyers | 31c | 47.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Flyers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…15c5backed Wild | 60c | 43.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…676dbacked Flyers | 38c | 42.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Wild | 59c | 42.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…f253backed Flyers | 36c | 42.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…966cbacked Flyers | 43c | 41.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…873fbacked Wild | 57c | 41.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…a452backed Flyers | 38c | 40.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…2df9backed Flyers | 39c | 40.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…2ce1backed Flyers | 38c | 39.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…3c9dbacked Wild | 56c | 39.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfd…e253backed Wild | 62c | 39.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…f4d9backed Flyers | 40c | 39.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…8302backed Flyers | 39c | 39.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…8e69backed Flyers | 40c | 37.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…cf42backed Flyers | 42c | 37.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…5ef0backed Flyers | 39c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9576…ce79backed Wild | 61c | 37.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…6bffbacked Flyers | 39c | 37.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…6c43backed Wild | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…20fcbacked Wild | 60c | 35.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.