Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x071490c1f15188c9db31337984626ca937bfc2f090f626bb81eaee43c623ea6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 16c | 121,287$19,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,507.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 14c | 24,758$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.28 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 19c | 12,499$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.83 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 79c | 5,190$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 19c | 4,063$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 18c | 3,414$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.91 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 17c | 2,845$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.28 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 2,050$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 19c | 1,613$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 17c | 1,417$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 1,057$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 16c | 999.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 19c | 976.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 19c | 942.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 20c | 600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 17c | 599.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 19c | 399.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 6c | 244.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 20c | 238.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 80c | 151.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 14c | 142.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 14c | 137$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…1e59backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…bd5cbacked No | 19c | 56.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…be7bbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…814fbacked Yes | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a63ebacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 79c | 28.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 80c | 23.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…c0d3backed Yes | 79c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…74f4backed Yes | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…0c22backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?this page
- Will Faroe Islands vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.