TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No28c158,536$44,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,283.5540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes72c71,425$51,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,999850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes72c59,921$43,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,770.014772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c12,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.982128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes72c8,300$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32413348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes74c4,730$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No1c3,238$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No28c2,050$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57410521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes72c1,728$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.694341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c1,530$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.471,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes72c1,487$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No32c1,143$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.596045%27 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No27c600$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.251612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No2c573.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes67c540$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.57844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed No27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked No28c471.78$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes74c388.14$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Yes72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes73c333.83$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No30c297.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.776960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c265$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes74c229.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.311644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes75c133.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No28c133.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes65c123$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.052437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.859051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f9…f053backed Yes73c104$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd08a…de3abacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No29c99.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5513016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes72c96.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.931050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes74c87.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.193951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f63…6693backed Yes73c81.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…e7d0backed Yes72c79.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes73c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes72c68.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…7355backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No28c55.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc819…b7f0backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes72c52.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.66757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5391…062dbacked Yes71c52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No29c50.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No34c50.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.172924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No29c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No25c46.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.672128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…6744backed Yes71c35.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8611070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2f43…7c3ebacked Yes74c33.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4f…8402backed Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095c…4bf6backed Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…e711backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b2…26abbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a3…c192backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes73c27.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8e…07f7backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec5…5330backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6f…6bc4backed Yes73c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa590…663ebacked Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf375…a63ebacked Yes74c17.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0ee5backed Yes73c15.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…71e0backed Yes73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.