Fifa International · resolved market
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1939358e261dec3d2a51846842af0bbf375d7e96ce327cc43ece083474c27e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 14,138$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 65c | 8,861$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 8,394$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.61 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 66c | 8,339$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 34c | 8,105$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.54 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 35c | 6,804$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.48 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 36c | 4,121$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.63 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 66c | 4,048$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.37 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 33c | 3,722$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.79 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 3,214$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.13 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed No | 42c | 1,194$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 35c | 997$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 67c | 737$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.21 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 18c | 527.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 68c | 365.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…439ebacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 35c | 273.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 32c | 238$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 24c | 202.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…f98abacked Yes | 66c | 181.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 34c | 173.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 35c | 166.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 68c | 163.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 115.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 78.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 64c | 75.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 43c | 50.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 34c | 42.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Yes | 70c | 36.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…e605backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…8dc6backed Yes | 66c | 24.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 60c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed Yes | 67c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Gibraltar vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?No won
- Will Gibraltar win on 2025-09-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.