Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdd9f626aa6dd14741616b87bb764bc6b4cc6f59a9d98d71e117fb7919b34bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 5c | 8,736$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…8459backed Yes | 44c | 1,606$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 57c | 1,411$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 58c | 799.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 707$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 464.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 42c | 452.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 446.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 22c | 361.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 330.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 273.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 58c | 238.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…0ae6backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 28c | 182.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed No | 60c | 166.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…e67abacked Yes | 41c | 150.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 132.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 118.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…ff2cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…be11backed No | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 40c | 71.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 39c | 71.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 71.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 43c | 70.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…6d90backed Yes | 36c | 65.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4e63backed Yes | 36c | 63.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 57.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 54.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…a839backed Yes | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 58c | 35.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 42c | 28.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 60c | 26.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 59c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked No | 59c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will England finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.