Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9973cf61c546fd50d7304c0dd6568faebdd2d6f5231e262ca3762968833421b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 55c | 16,998$9,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 45c | 16,667$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 5,495$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 44c | 2,460$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 56c | 2,291$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 60c | 1,886$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.54 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,828$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 44c | 1,510$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 49c | 1,104$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.2 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 63c | 1,100$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.89 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 956.39$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 44c | 679.55$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 24c | 524.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.77 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…05afbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 53c | 470.01$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 444.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 394.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 277.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 49c | 255.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 74c | 221.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 33c | 202$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 76c | 188.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…9e5fbacked Yes | 44c | 139.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 45c | 134.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…6834backed Yes | 48c | 126.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 46c | 86.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 76.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 44c | 64.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 63.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8927backed No | 58c | 55.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…988dbacked Yes | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 55c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked No | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…ea68backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7badbacked No | 66c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked No | 57c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2025-09-05?this page
- Will Slovenia vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-09-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.