Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d3d1efc7a130e3e0bf2557a3ad3d39d17d1682c911f964aa1648bbb7aa8bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 5,038$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 60c | 4,158$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 41c | 2,293$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.13 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 38c | 2,269$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.38 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,511$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 59c | 776.8$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 548.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 42c | 512.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 377.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 59c | 340.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 59c | 300.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 173.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Yes | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 42c | 102.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked No | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 59c | 71.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 73c | 70.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 42c | 61.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 58c | 39.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…141dbacked Yes | 78c | 25.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…8427backed Yes | 59c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…0554backed Yes | 62c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05?this page
- Will Montenegro vs. Czechia end in a draw?No won
- Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.