Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08c0125b6642a0b0fe081faa3f76973746f1a915a0c95cdb1dde5c2ecbd5ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 33c | 229,740$75,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,581.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 67c | 121,200$81,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 3,376$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 3,249$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.45 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 3,109$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.61 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 70c | 1,395$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 1,170$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 33c | 870.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 65c | 770$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 70c | 723.68$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…93c3backed Yes | 69c | 663.35$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 75c | 595$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…6f8abacked Yes | 69c | 538.01$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 29c | 524.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 31c | 447$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 407.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 70c | 372.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 68c | 361.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 340.15$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 32c | 316.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 67c | 299.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 69c | 217.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3547backed Yes | 71c | 200.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 69c | 199.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 187.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 64c | 155.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 27c | 145.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 27c | 138.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 66c | 104.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 18c | 103.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 71c | 100.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 69c | 93.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed Yes | 70c | 60.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 55.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 39c | 49.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 62c | 46.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 36.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed Yes | 69c | 33.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed Yes | 66c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed Yes | 69c | 31.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…a515backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed Yes | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Yes | 69c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Yes | 69c | 23.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Yes | 70c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Yes | 69c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…438dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…0c04backed Yes | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 68c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Yes | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…3620backed Yes | 70c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…21fabacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Yes | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Yes | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.