Mls · resolved market
Leagues Cup Winner – MLS or Liga MX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f3f07837b7d0aac9bda9bc28876cea265417cfdb3796b46869e42d5fa58a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MLSof MLS, Liga MX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fa…3fa6backed Liga MX | 46c | 164.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked MLS | 56c | 148.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Liga MX | 38c | 139.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed MLS | 64c | 100.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Liga MX | 35c | 53.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Liga MX | 48c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked MLS | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Liga MX | 32c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Liga MX | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed MLS | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…7eecbacked Liga MX | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked MLS | 56c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed MLS | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed MLS | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed MLS | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed MLS | 70c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.