Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $210 October 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fefeb8dc914088ef26989ba4439931da7f7608ecc23a4126c73bacd184dc1df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 63c | 9,287$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.07 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 34c | 6,139$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.06 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked No | 65c | 3,740$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 44c | 2,415$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 31c | 2,070$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.4 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 32c | 1,958$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.94 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 56c | 1,120$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 21c | 721$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…d37abacked No | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…9826backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…ab4bbacked Yes | 37c | 393.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 21c | 320$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 53c | 303$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc860…1454backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 58c | 143.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…8d0ebacked No | 76c | 140$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 115.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…3e3fbacked No | 79c | 45.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 71c | 39.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…0f5ebacked Yes | 31c | 36.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…c064backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…bbcfbacked Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $210 October 6-12?this page
- Will Solana dip to $160 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $220 October 6-12?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 October 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 October 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.