Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe29579ca3830a3d1d3a9b47eda1dd20fdeec799f3811d3fd63995a2e3a7a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 25,372$8,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,627.97 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 23,020$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,826.82 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 3,490$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.61 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed G2 Esports | 62c | 2,403$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.55 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 1,984$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 1,851$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 1,250$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 1,162$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.28 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked G2 Esports | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed G2 Esports | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 889.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed G2 Esports | 62c | 740$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed G2 Esports | 61c | 640$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 598.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed G2 Esports | 67c | 455.24$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Karmine Corp | 10c | 438.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked G2 Esports | 59c | 340.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 338.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed G2 Esports | 56c | 329.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 325.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 304.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed G2 Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed G2 Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed G2 Esports | 57c | 280$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 275.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…9de1backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 270.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 269.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 243.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 234.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 209.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed G2 Esports | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed G2 Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed G2 Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…bdc2backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 147.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed G2 Esports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 145.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 119.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed G2 Esports | 62c | 112.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed G2 Esports | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed G2 Esports | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed G2 Esports | 67c | 96.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed G2 Esports | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked G2 Esports | 44c | 78.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…981ebacked G2 Esports | 43c | 64.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 61.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed G2 Esports | 65c | 60.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed G2 Esports | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…15ebbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 56.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed G2 Esports | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e671backed G2 Esports | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2273backed G2 Esports | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed G2 Esports | 64c | 41.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed G2 Esports | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed G2 Esports | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed G2 Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed G2 Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed G2 Esports | 66c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.