Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $120 November 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad115a98ca6d65d5d777baf8543f4f5de0494840e359321218dd044a44e69a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 14,888$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 17c | 9,598$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.09 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,950$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed Yes | 34c | 6,523$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 11c | 6,052$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…9466backed Yes | 1c | 3,334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,923$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked Yes | 1c | 971.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 27c | 742.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 691.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 23c | 483.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 74c | 281.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666a…618fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…8214backed Yes | 16c | 121.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…169bbacked Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 27c | 115.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Yes | 20c | 89.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 48c | 72.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 34c | 59.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 22c | 51.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $120 November 17-23?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 November 17-23?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 November 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.