Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40390258127ce597521dc10841c64015376ed1e4ff2695a9071099059b1deee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 70c | 23,659$16,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.22 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 34c | 12,754$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.51 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 14c | 9,256$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.63 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…307ebacked Yes | 30c | 6,644$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 4c | 5,730$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 73c | 4,318$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.52 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 30c | 3,382$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.68 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 75c | 2,963$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.43 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,542$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,506$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…1c72backed Yes | 60c | 2,384$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 33c | 2,070$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.17 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 62c | 1,626$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.58 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 63c | 1,415$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 551.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 62c | 262.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 32c | 248$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…77b5backed No | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f4…a427backed Yes | 11c | 119.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…6a4ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…4bf3backed Yes | 46c | 106.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…8cc6backed No | 63c | 96.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…abd7backed Yes | 21c | 77.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…d77dbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…196fbacked Yes | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…06e8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…2106backed No | 68c | 40.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed No | 65c | 25.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…65f5backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…5579backed No | 70c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?this page
- Will Solana dip to $190 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $200 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $210 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $220 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $230 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 September 15-21?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 September 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.