Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $250 September 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9464ce5c4a7100205e3e5050576f7f9ff4ac1fdd1f266a35b1cac61b6c10dfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 49c | 8,669$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.25 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…307ebacked Yes | 55c | 5,454$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 52c | 5,347$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.02 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 53c | 3,262$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.52 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 51c | 2,345$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.05 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 34c | 2,085$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 50c | 2,011$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.48 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 63c | 975.21$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 59c | 770$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.16 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 12c | 716.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 44c | 597.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.64 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 51c | 511.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 49c | 470$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 338.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 56c | 334.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 50c | 331.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…64f3backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 57c | 305.01$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 48c | 217.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…5456backed Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 61c | 156.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…f480backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…0f8abacked No | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…34d1backed Yes | 54c | 38.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…8cc6backed Yes | 69c | 34.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…21b6backed Yes | 47c | 33.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e2…6775backed No | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…65f5backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $250 September 15-21?this page
- Will Solana dip to $190 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $200 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $210 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $220 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $230 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $290 September 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 September 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.