Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b60b63ff3a1e17a44ef77a814392d47f0b6b851e3c4e3cb473bfd7c100b9307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 17c | 1,427$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 35c | 1,222$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 44c | 1,033$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 48c | 991.62$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 40c | 847.34$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.46 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 60c | 521.09$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 51c | 488.01$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 34c | 485.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 14c | 292.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 42c | 285.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…b22fbacked Yes | 49c | 201.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 80c | 199.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 9c | 141.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 71c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 21c | 116.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 36c | 115.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 109$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…b830backed Yes | 28c | 103.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 69c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 77c | 26.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 53c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed Yes | 57c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…5db2backed No | 56c | 20.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…aed1backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.