TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x088d…b830

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28%+$3.72
Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.24
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.12
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.96
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$23.24
Dublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.2
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$10.02
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$5.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+259%+$74.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.