TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c15,387$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.531,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c14,641$6,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,334.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c7,552$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes75c7,199$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c4,686$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.992,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Yes46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.834445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No55c3,380$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85911963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes45c2,818$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.1553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c2,755$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.633,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No54c2,690$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.3986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Yes46c2,611$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.81625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No54c2,340$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No45c2,253$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c2,037$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e9…232cbacked Yes46c1,480$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.092254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No38c1,372$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8134330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8726438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No55c1,040$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yes46c870$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.825857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No47c785.15$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.092,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Yes46c710.87$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8710340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13dc…09fdbacked Yes46c697$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c682.78$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No55c682.48$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No7c676.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5717223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No54c643.72$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.611,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No15c581.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.822,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No54c499.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.985536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.785358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed No55c408.55$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.713337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes55c402.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.267963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No54c383.48$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.081,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes46c369.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5747935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…fba4backed No54c360$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.45957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No8c346.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4423540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No40c330.69$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.282,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes50c283.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.339150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes45c279.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15417255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578f…29d9backed No54c259.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.398452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13545248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes46c239.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1321048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Yes46c239.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.138161.7%50 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd1e…862ebacked Yes47c211.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2723440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes46c207.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes67c200.87$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10839956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No55c188.22$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.521,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No55c188.22$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes46c175.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.034850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…dc38backed Yes75c172.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No53c149.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4981554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No41c145.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.442,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No55c142.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7834646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes45c134.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes47c125.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed No33c121.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No54c119.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e8…46c5backed No55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Yes46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.715447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes46c104.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2636350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5125031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5457252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5321433.2%71 W · 143 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8314842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed No54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0650950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef5…c3c8backed Yes46c84.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.783857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Yes46c84.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7812635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacb…ae76backed Yes46c83.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.131241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Yes46c78.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6115550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes50c71.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No54c66.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8811445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c66.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc842…543dbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2211347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e8…d10bbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7232…03efbacked No55c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.656346%29 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No55c61.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.430040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.356443.8%28 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeeac…4170backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238c…4399backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018840.4%76 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.381,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4818243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02c…eb36backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4813976.3%106 W · 33 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.