TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c29,512$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,300.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c29,317$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,817.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c19,947$14,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes36c10,362$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.041,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes27c8,420$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.3765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c8,334$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c7,919$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c4,613$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No64c4,332$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes23c2,863$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.4928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No64c2,400$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86411445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c2,235$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No64c2,000$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.0264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No65c1,999$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.739050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes35c1,855$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.118847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Yes28c1,769$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes36c1,699$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.524643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No65c1,568$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.671,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes35c1,509$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c1,414$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.782,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No65c1,333$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.451,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a0…d0cbbacked Yes37c1,205$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes24c999.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes15c939.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd94f…ee62backed Yes35c870.11$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No65c789.33$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.481,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No65c779.99$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27325844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No64c749.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No64c742.38$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Yes35c694.29$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24322436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No64c634.46$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.271,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes35c628.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da9…cb87backed No64c523.93$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No65c502.95$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0321046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Yes35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd20a…f546backed Yes36c497.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.041421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c457.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.891,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7148…600bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…8abebacked Yes25c450$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No65c432.71$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0a…8461backed No65c407.85$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.753836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes32c395$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.32,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes31c347.41$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes36c273.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No65c273.6$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7634455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked No65c271.23$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.933943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes31c245.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.762,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a0…1de0backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9927434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf29…77d1backed Yes36c192.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578f…29d9backed No64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.88452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c160.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d29…fba4backed No64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c157.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes22c149.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8132422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes36c134.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked No65c133.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8512635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No65c126.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.335150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…783ebacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked No65c111$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.857475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Yes28c110.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d0…43b0backed Yes36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Yes36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f89…2140backed Yes39c102$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.783716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7978…473cbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116428.1%18 W · 46 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510426%27 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae00…6af8backed No65c81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.354250%21 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f74…2d62backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5a…d5dabacked Yes36c72.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0431…3dd8backed Yes35c71.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked No65c70.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5819038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No71c66.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc8…2791backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207332.9%24 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed No74c58.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013851.4%71 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5550950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.