Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1866c096710b270ada2b422523efa159f6e2857a07444965bba292cc96a57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 70c | 1,713$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 74c | 1,636$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,406$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.2 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 29c | 1,320$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 1,134$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 69c | 904.88$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed No | 67c | 689.9$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 516.03$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 26c | 503.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 70c | 499.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…a0eebacked Yes | 30c | 367.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 67c | 330.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 70c | 259.32$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…43bfbacked Yes | 29c | 257.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked Yes | 29c | 228.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 189.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 73c | 165.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 65c | 165.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…5383backed Yes | 32c | 157.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 65c | 154.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9832…6e4dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 66c | 136.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 68c | 134.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes | 26c | 129.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…6055backed Yes | 35c | 123.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 71c | 121.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 118.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 69c | 118.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 71c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 30c | 109.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 65c | 92.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 65c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…0a99backed Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 74c | 73.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…36f7backed Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +335.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 66c | 65.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 33c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 60.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 66c | 60.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 28c | 52.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 25c | 52.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 25c | 50.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 50.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 64c | 48.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 69c | 48.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 73c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 69c | 41.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…b830backed Yes | 34c | 39.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 50c | 36.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 32.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 31.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 72c | 29.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…0c32backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 65c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…f90bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 72c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…372fbacked No | 70c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?this page
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?No won
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes won
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No won
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?No won
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?No won
- Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.