Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden to score first vs. Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9022461f16b27dc2188c295afd4da67a545f44fc02e2ab97ab5a6399cfd730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 6,485$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 34c | 5,740$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.02 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 3,222$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.42 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 2,450$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 65c | 1,699$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 65c | 1,352$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.18 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 690$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 673$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 550.11$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…7106backed Yes | 4c | 532.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 67c | 255$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed No | 67c | 212.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…65ddbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 176$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e8debacked Yes | 38c | 171.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 67c | 156.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…33d7backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 105.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 104$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…bec8backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e82abacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…d976backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 31cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…62f3backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…dc9dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 67c | 46.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…bb42backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c8…ea3dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 67c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…b830backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 67c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden to score first vs. Netherlands?this page
- Netherlands to score first vs. Sweden?Yes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.