Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to score first vs. Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88179f7fe450fafe67ad4c721b44c033da9c9ce6330a2e4c379690c2f71bd0a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 37c | 3,258$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.53 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 2,606$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 2,397$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.94 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 1,491$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.45 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 1,251$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 63c | 1,234$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.58 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 37c | 1,091$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…3528backed Yes | 63c | 783.03$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 673$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…6984backed Yes | 66c | 659.65$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 549.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 37c | 522.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 37c | 388.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 62c | 321.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…4d37backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 64c | 235.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a5c2backed Yes | 63c | 215.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 37c | 168.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 161.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…83a2backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…b973backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc21…387bbacked Yes | 63c | 156.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e82abacked No | 37c | 134.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 63c | 123.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 119.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 38c | 81.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…046dbacked Yes | 63c | 75.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…8dd7backed Yes | 63c | 58.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…1364backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…a580backed Yes | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes | 63c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…31c5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd70d…3c14backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to score first vs. Sweden?this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?No won
- Sweden to score first vs. Netherlands?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.