Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c8707b540afc4987119de4cd1afff33b6c3a2ba8a271e4d17f568d677886cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 8,777$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.32 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 4,214$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.06 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 2,995$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.07 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 2,380$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.59 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 2,323$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.57 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 1,749$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,484$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 1,301$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 1,240$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.8 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 1,090$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.42 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 884.74$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 857.35$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.58 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 799.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 707.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 583.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 565.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 498.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 470.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 435.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 401.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 336.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 322$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 310.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 272.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 269.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 197.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 194.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 173.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 172.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 140.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 111.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 93.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 78.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 69.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 60.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 55.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 44.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 36.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 36.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…b830backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 24.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…584cbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.